KC Guyz

This newsletter is the second in a series where we visit different short segments to provide analysis on the season.

In today’s newsletter:

• Different Ranking Systems
• Schedule Swap
• Divisional Strength
• Weekly Most Points Rankings
• FAAB to USD Conversion Rate
• This week’s recap and next week’s preview.

Different Ranking Systems

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Divisional System (Current Method)

1. Spencer Mobley
2. Ryan Zisman
3. Collin Green
4. Trey Kennedy
5. Jordan Bosch
6. John Gilmore

Non-Divisional System

1. Spencer Mobley
2. Trey Kennedy
3. Jordan Bosch
4. Ryan Zisman
5. Collin Green
6. John Gilmore

Power Ranking System

In a Power Ranking system where the seeds are determined by (Points For x 2) + (PF x Win %) + (PF x Win % if played vs median) we get these top 6 teams:

1. Spencer Mobley (6324.74 pts)
2. Trey Kennedy (6021.65 pts)
3. Andrew Norton (5983.43 pts)
4. Ryan Zisman (5866.02 pts)
5. John Gilmore (5686.37 pts)
6. Sam Arends (5631.36 pts)

2-Win System (with Game Against Median)

In a 2-win system, we get these results:

1. Spencer Mobley (18 wins)
2. Trey Kennedy (16 wins)
3. Andrew Norton (16 wins)
4. John Gilmore (16 wins)
5. Ryan Zisman (15 wins)
6. Jordan Bosch (15 wins)

Winless System (by Points For)

In a Points For system, we get these results:

1. Spencer Mobley (1924.92 pts)
2. Ryan Zisman (1916.38 pts)
3. Trey Kennedy (1915.98 pts)
4. Andrew Norton (1903.82 pts)
5. Sam Arends (1877.12 pts)
6. Jordan Bosch (1819.78 pts)

All Play System

In the All Play system where team records are if they played against every team each week, we get these top 6 teams:

1. Spencer Mobley (89-65)
2. Ryan Zisman (87-67)
3. Andrew Norton (87-67)
4. Sam Arends (86-68)
5. John Gilmore (83-71)
6. Trey Kennedy (82-72)

Schedule Swap

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In 2023, we posted Schedule Swap where we highlighted what each team’s record would be given another team’s schedule. Below are those results with a few highlights:

1. No team would have a winning record with Cotton’s schedule.
2. All teams would have a winning record with Kennedy’s schedule.
3. No team would have a losing record against Gilmore’s schedule.
4. Only one team each would have a winning record with Arends’ or Wahrman’s schedule.

Divisional Strength

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In our newsletter following week 3, we concluded that the “Space Cadets soared to the top.” In our newsletter following week 9, we concluded that the Patriots had the most legacy wins and points while “historically the Girl Dads not only have been the worst division, but the luckiest.” We now revisit this idea to review how each division performed in 2024.

Total Wins:

1. Girl Dads: 33
2. Patriots: 27
3. Space Cadets: 24

Total Points:

1. Girl Dads: 7,437.4
2. Space Cadets: 7,313.74
3. Patriots: 7,141.08

Total Playoff Appearances:

1. Girl Dads: 3
2. Patriots: 2
3. Space Cadets: 1

It’s clear from the numbers, this season belongs to the Girl Dads as the best division with the most wins, points, and playoff appearances.

But wait. There’s more!

We reviewed Points Per Win (PPW) to determine how many points it took each division to earn a win. As an example, if your division scored only 1,000 points and had 10 wins, it would have only taken 100 PPW. If instead your division was much stronger and scored 10,000 points but still only had 10 wins, then you would have a far greater total of 1,000 PPW. This indicates that fewer Points Per Win correlates with greater luck.

Points Per Win:

1. Girl Dads: 225 points per win
2. Patriots: 264 points per win
3. Space Cadets: 304 points per win

In conclusion, the Girl Dads continue to lead the league in luck, but nonetheless, stats are for losers and final scores are for winners. We congratulate the Girl Dads for their efforts as this year’s best regular season division.

Weekly Most Points Rankings

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Below is the order of teams who won the $25 weekly cash prize for most points ranked by the number of times and dollars won with a tie-breaker of total Points For.

1. Ryan Zisman (3x, $75)
2. Matt O’Neil (3x, $75)
3. Trey Kennedy (2x, $50)
4. Sam Arends (2x, $50)
5. Spencer Mobley (1x, $25)
6. Andrew Norton (1x, $25)
7. Jordan Bosch (1x, $25)
8. Connor Lamb (1x, $25)

FAAB to USD Conversion Rate

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The below stats are from the previous two full seasons where we began tracking unspent FAAB.

Combined Total:

Now we provide you, for the very first time, a FAAB to USD conversion rate. To do this, we looked at the week 14 waivers where Zisman used $54 FAAB to grab Isaac Guerendo. Zisman went on to win $25 for the weekly high points directly due to this waiver pickup. Therefore we can establish a conversion rate of $2.16 FAAB/USD.

This means that Cotton has left an effective $272.16 USD on the table through his unspent FAAB.

Week 14 Recap

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Extra Points:

1. Mobley takes home Seasonal Most Points $150 cash prize and wins for the people.
2. Gilmore shares article of a 2-win system.
3. Zisman sets new regular season weekly high point record with 199.58. He beats previous record, he also set, of 190.38 from week 4 of 2020.
4. Kennedy sets record as first team to win by over 100 points.
5. Norton misses playoffs for the second year in a row due to a 1-win system.
6. Lamb changes profile pic to Melon Connor.
7. Cotton and Norton fail to bid on Guerrendo who put up 26.8 points in first week as starter.
8. Cotton sets 4th worst seasonal points below average.

Message of the Week:

Week 15 Preview

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Storylines:

1. Kennedy v. Bosch: While both teams are 1-1 this season, Bosch leads the all time head-to-head 5-4.
2. Gilmore v. Green: While teams are both 1-1 this season, Gilmore leads their all time head-to-head 4-2.
3. O’Neil v. Arends: Arends leads the all time rivalry 3-1 and won their only matchup this season.
4. Norton v. Lamb: Norton may be 3-1 against Lamb, but Lamb won their only matchup this season.